Politically speaking.
I’ve been saying it to friends for several weeks now (who sometimes look at me with a mixture of surprise and alarm), but I believe the presidential election results this year will, in the end, be remarkably similar to 1972.
McCain is NOT Richard Nixon in personality, politics, or philosophy. But the Democrats are certainly trying to out-do the McGovern experiment with their nomination of Barack Obama.
Iraq is not Vietnam, in spite of the fevered attempts by the nutroots to “re-create ‘68.” But there is this parallel. When US troops are committed overseas in combat, the voters want someone with military experience who they can trust.
In the end, I believe McCain wins all electoral votes except those of Massachusetts and the District of Columbia.
- Rob Shearer (aka RedHatRob)
6 responses so far ↓
1 For Any Odds And Any Amount Of Money : Post Politics: Political News and Views in Tennessee // Aug 7, 2008 at 9:58 am
[…] take this bet: In the end, I believe McCain wins all electoral votes except those of Massachusetts and the […]
2 Sean Braisted (2 comments) // Aug 7, 2008 at 11:44 am
So you think McCain is going to win Illinois and Hawaii? Richard Nixon was running with a much stronger economy, a war that had gone from 10K dead per year to a couple hundred, and a Democratic party fractured by race issues.
McCain is running on the incumbent party ticket with energy prices at an all time high, the economy and wages in the crapper, a Republican party that is sitting in the fetal position crying for the pain to stop, and a lack of a coherent, positive message.
If John McCain were running as John McCain 2000, perhaps you might be right that he’d win…but the more people see that he’s abandoned all principle and sold his soul to the far-right of the GOP to win the nomination, the less favorable an opinion the people will have of him.
3 WOW (1 comments) // Aug 7, 2008 at 1:34 pm
I legitimately question your intelligence and status as a human being if you truly think this is going to happen. I am baffled that you have the skills to get on a computer to type, but don’t have the skills to observe your surroundings. Like wow,
Also, let me explain political history to you cause you obviously know absolutely nothing. Nixon in ‘72 will never happen again (Southern Strategy). All of the northern states were still Republican states (old school new england republicans) and the south voted completely republican for truly the first time.
you really are insanely unintelligent
4 Net hick (1 comments) // Aug 7, 2008 at 4:32 pm
I do think McCain will win in a landslide - but not a 48 state landslide. Obama will carry 10 states but New York will not be one of them.
Obama should be 18 points ahead this early. Gore and Kerry were and still lost.
The Clintons will not let Obama win.
5 Michael Moore tells us why McCain will win | The Tennessee ConserVOLiance // Aug 8, 2008 at 11:01 pm
[…] Which is why I stand confidently behind my earlier assertion. […]
6 New Poll shows McCain up by 20 | The Tennessee ConserVOLiance // Sep 16, 2008 at 9:01 pm
[…] I still think Obama wins DC and MA. […]
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